Ponferradina 1-1 Tenerife — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.0pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.0pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+3.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.5pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Tenerife EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
1.03/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-15% / +145% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +90% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ponferradina
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Tenerife
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.74 xG 1.32
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
359 Passes 283
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
20.12.2025 Tenerife Tenerife 2-0 HT 0-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS3
14.01.2023 Tenerife Tenerife 0-0 HT 0-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS2
24.09.2022 Ponferradina Ponferradina 2-2 HT 1-1 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
30.01.2022 Ponferradina Ponferradina 1-2 HT 1-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
04.09.2021 Tenerife Tenerife 2-0 HT 0-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS2
13.02.2021 Tenerife Tenerife 1-0 HT 0-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ponferradina
1-1
AWAY Tenerife
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ponferradina vs Tenerife
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ponferradina and Tenerife couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Ponferradina had 40% of the ball to Tenerife's 60%, shots finished 10-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tenerife led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ponferradina and 1.50 for Tenerife.

What was the final score of Ponferradina vs Tenerife?

Ponferradina 1-1 Tenerife in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ponferradina vs Tenerife?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tenerife win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Ponferradina 34%, draw 31%, Tenerife 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tenerife), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tenerife) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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