Tenerife 2-0 Ponferradina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.54
Over 2.5
37%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.53
No
60%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
29%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
61%
-3.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+4.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
61%
+2.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
39%
-2.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
36%
+4.5pp
60%
BTTS No
64%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tenerife EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 17%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.16/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/1.11
+29% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +36%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tenerife
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ponferradina
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.39 xG 0.87
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
293 Passes 334
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
14.01.2023 Tenerife Tenerife 0-0 HT 0-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS2
24.09.2022 Ponferradina Ponferradina 2-2 HT 1-1 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
30.01.2022 Ponferradina Ponferradina 1-2 HT 1-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
04.09.2021 Tenerife Tenerife 2-0 HT 0-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS2
13.02.2021 Tenerife Tenerife 1-0 HT 0-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS2
21.10.2020 Ponferradina Ponferradina 1-0 HT 1-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tenerife
2-0
AWAY Ponferradina
73% Ball Possession 27%
21 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
14 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tenerife vs Ponferradina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tenerife saw off Ponferradina 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tenerife as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Tenerife had 73% of the ball to Ponferradina's 27%, shots finished 21-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tenerife had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tenerife and 0.67 for Ponferradina.

What was the final score of Tenerife vs Ponferradina?

Tenerife 2-0 Ponferradina in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tenerife vs Ponferradina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tenerife win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Tenerife 58%, draw 23%, Ponferradina 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tenerife), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tenerife) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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