Celta Vigo II 1-0 Real Madrid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.66
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.07
6+ Goals
9%
19.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.6pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celta Vigo II EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid II EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
1.66/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.33
+23% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celta Vigo II
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Real Madrid II
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
15.04.2023 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 3-0 HT 1-0 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II İS3
29.10.2022 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II 1-2 HT 1-2 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
08.01.2020 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celta Vigo II
1-0
AWAY Real Madrid II
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Celta Vigo II vs Real Madrid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celta Vigo II nicked a narrow win over Real Madrid II 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Celta Vigo II as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Celta Vigo II had 40% of the ball to Real Madrid II's 60%, shots finished 6-15.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Real Madrid II led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Celta Vigo II and 2.00 for Real Madrid II.

What was the final score of Celta Vigo II vs Real Madrid II?

Celta Vigo II 1-0 Real Madrid II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celta Vigo II vs Real Madrid II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celta Vigo II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo II 44%, draw 27%, Real Madrid II 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celta Vigo II), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celta Vigo II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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