Marbella 0-1 Hercules — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.17
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
16%
5.23
6+ Goals
8%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.4pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.5pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+1.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marbella EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Hercules EU Bookmakers 36%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -5%
1.24/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.45
+5% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marbella
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Hercules
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 5
25.01.2025 Marbella Marbella 1-2 HT 1-2 Hercules Hercules İS3
20.11.2024 Hercules Hercules 2-1 HT 1-0 Marbella Marbella İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marbella
0-1
AWAY Hercules
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Marbella vs Hercules
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hercules squeezed past Marbella 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Hercules made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Marbella had 60% of the ball to Hercules's 40%, shots finished 8-3.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hercules led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Marbella and 2.00 for Hercules.

What was the final score of Marbella vs Hercules?

Marbella 0-1 Hercules in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marbella vs Hercules?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marbella win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Marbella 38%, draw 29%, Hercules 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Marbella) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marbella) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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