Marbella 1-2 Hercules — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.48
Over 2.5
44%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.06
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
5.43
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.7pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.1pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
64%
-7.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
36%
+7.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.3pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marbella EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hercules EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -5%
1.39/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.28
+10% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marbella
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hercules
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
7 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
20.11.2024 Hercules Hercules 2-1 HT 1-0 Marbella Marbella İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marbella
1-2
AWAY Hercules
58% Ball Possession 42%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Marbella vs Hercules
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hercules squeezed past Marbella 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Marbella at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Marbella had 58% of the ball to Hercules's 42%, shots finished 6-14.

What was the final score of Marbella vs Hercules?

Marbella 1-2 Hercules in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marbella vs Hercules?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marbella win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Marbella 42%, draw 28%, Hercules 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Marbella) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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