Recreativo Huelva 1-1 Ceuta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.32
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
4.62
6+ Goals
9%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+3.5pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.7pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.6pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Recreativo Huelva EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceuta EU Bookmakers 28%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -6%
1.43/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.01
+2% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
295 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Recreativo Huelva
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Ceuta
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 12
7 Yellow Cards 3
28.09.2024 Ceuta Ceuta 1-0 HT 0-0 Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva İS3
25.02.2024 Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva 2-1 HT 2-1 Ceuta Ceuta İS3
03.09.2023 Ceuta Ceuta 0-0 HT 0-0 Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Recreativo Huelva
1-1
AWAY Ceuta
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Recreativo Huelva vs Ceuta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Recreativo Huelva and Ceuta couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Recreativo Huelva at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Recreativo Huelva had 50% of the ball to Ceuta's 50%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Recreativo Huelva and 0.67 for Ceuta.

What was the final score of Recreativo Huelva vs Ceuta?

Recreativo Huelva 1-1 Ceuta in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Recreativo Huelva vs Ceuta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Recreativo Huelva win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Recreativo Huelva 50%, draw 27%, Ceuta 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Recreativo Huelva), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Recreativo Huelva) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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