Ceuta 1-0 Recreativo Huelva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.71
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.31
6+ Goals
11%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.7pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.5pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.2pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceuta EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Recreativo Huelva EU Bookmakers 24%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
1.97/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.06
+23% / +112% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +30%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceuta
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Recreativo Huelva
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 7
25.02.2024 Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva 2-1 HT 2-1 Ceuta Ceuta İS3
03.09.2023 Ceuta Ceuta 0-0 HT 0-0 Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva İS3
POST-MATCH Ceuta vs Recreativo Huelva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceuta squeezed past Recreativo Huelva 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ceuta as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Recreativo Huelva led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ceuta and 1.00 for Recreativo Huelva.

What was the final score of Ceuta vs Recreativo Huelva?

Ceuta 1-0 Recreativo Huelva in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceuta vs Recreativo Huelva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceuta win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ceuta 47%, draw 31%, Recreativo Huelva 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceuta), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ceuta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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