Unionistas 1-2 Cultural Leonesa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.48
Over 2.5
44%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
5.81
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+2.7pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.4pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-2.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
64%
-8.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
36%
+8.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.2pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Unionistas EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Cultural Leonesa EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +7%
1.63/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.94
+46% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Unionistas
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cultural Leonesa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2024 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 1-1 HT 1-1 Unionistas Unionistas İS3
02.09.2023 Unionistas Unionistas 1-0 HT 0-0 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa İS3
20.05.2023 Unionistas Unionistas 2-0 HT 1-0 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa İS3
26.11.2022 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 2-0 HT 2-0 Unionistas Unionistas İS3
13.02.2022 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 0-1 HT 0-0 Unionistas Unionistas İS3
05.09.2021 Unionistas Unionistas 2-2 HT 1-2 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa İS3
POST-MATCH Unionistas vs Cultural Leonesa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cultural Leonesa edged past Unionistas 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Cultural Leonesa found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Unionistas had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Unionistas and 0.83 for Cultural Leonesa.

What was the final score of Unionistas vs Cultural Leonesa?

Unionistas 1-2 Cultural Leonesa in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Unionistas vs Cultural Leonesa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Unionistas win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Unionistas 39%, draw 30%, Cultural Leonesa 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Unionistas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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