Real Union 2-1 Sestao River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.38
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.07
6+ Goals
10%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.2pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.0pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.8pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Union EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Sestao River EU Bookmakers 27%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +6%
2.28/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.31
+55% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
370 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Union
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Sestao River
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 Sestao River Sestao River 3-1 HT 1-0 Real Union Real Union İS3
03.01.2024 Real Union Real Union 4-2 HT 3-2 Sestao River Sestao River İS3
15.02.2014 Real Union Real Union 0-1 HT 0-0 Sestao River Sestao River İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Union
2-1
AWAY Sestao River
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 11
POST-MATCH Real Union vs Sestao River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Union squeezed past Sestao River 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 28%) promised a tight game; Real Union found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Union had 51% of the ball to Sestao River's 49%, shots finished 8-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sestao River led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Real Union and 2.00 for Sestao River.

What was the final score of Real Union vs Sestao River?

Real Union 2-1 Sestao River in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Union vs Sestao River?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Union win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Real Union 40%, draw 32%, Sestao River 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Union) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Union) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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