Sestao River 3-1 Real Union — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
26%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.65
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.42
6+ Goals
9%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-4.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.6pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sestao River EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Union EU Bookmakers 33%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -8%
1.51/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.21
+23% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sestao River
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Real Union
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
03.01.2024 Real Union Real Union 4-2 HT 3-2 Sestao River Sestao River İS3
15.02.2014 Real Union Real Union 0-1 HT 0-0 Sestao River Sestao River İS3
POST-MATCH Sestao River vs Real Union
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sestao River saw off Real Union 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sestao River as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sestao River and 2.00 for Real Union.

What was the final score of Sestao River vs Real Union?

Sestao River 3-1 Real Union in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sestao River vs Real Union?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sestao River win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sestao River 45%, draw 29%, Real Union 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sestao River) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sestao River) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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