Merida AD 3-1 Algeciras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.23
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
5.54
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.2pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.3pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.6pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Merida AD EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Algeciras EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +16%
1.20/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.05
-11% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Merida AD
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Algeciras
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.09.2023 Algeciras Algeciras 2-0 HT 0-0 Merida AD Merida AD İS3
29.04.2023 Algeciras Algeciras 1-0 HT 1-0 Merida AD Merida AD İS3
30.10.2022 Merida AD Merida AD 3-3 HT 2-1 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
17.11.2019 Merida AD Merida AD 4-2 HT 2-1 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Merida AD
3-1
AWAY Algeciras
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Merida AD vs Algeciras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Merida AD saw off Algeciras 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 33%) promised a tight game; Merida AD found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Merida AD had 47% of the ball to Algeciras's 53%, shots finished 11-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Algeciras led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Merida AD and 2.00 for Algeciras.

What was the final score of Merida AD vs Algeciras?

Merida AD 3-1 Algeciras in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Merida AD vs Algeciras?

Before kick-off our model rated a Merida AD win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Merida AD 40%, draw 26%, Algeciras 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Merida AD) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Merida AD) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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