San Fernando 1-1 Intercity Alicante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.35
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.14
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.2pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Fernando EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Intercity Alicante EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.32/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.25
-2% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Fernando
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Intercity Alicante
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante 3-1 HT 0-0 San Fernando San Fernando İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Fernando
1-1
AWAY Intercity Alicante
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH San Fernando vs Intercity Alicante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Fernando and Intercity Alicante couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was San Fernando at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, San Fernando had 58% of the ball to Intercity Alicante's 42%, shots finished 17-8.

What was the final score of San Fernando vs Intercity Alicante?

San Fernando 1-1 Intercity Alicante in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Fernando vs Intercity Alicante?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Fernando win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split San Fernando 43%, draw 27%, Intercity Alicante 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (San Fernando), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Fernando) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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