Cordoba 0-1 Alcoyano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.43
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.07
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.8
6+ Goals
8%
16.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 30% vs market 26.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
65%
-8.5pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.6pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.7pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cordoba EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcoyano EU Bookmakers 16%
-9% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +14%
1.68/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.33
-3% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +27%
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
401 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cordoba
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Alcoyano
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 12
5 Yellow Cards 0
24.09.2023 Alcoyano Alcoyano 0-1 HT 0-1 Cordoba Cordoba İS3
04.05.2012 Alcoyano Alcoyano 3-3 HT 2-1 Cordoba Cordoba İS2
04.12.2011 Cordoba Cordoba 3-0 HT 3-0 Alcoyano Alcoyano İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cordoba
0-1
AWAY Alcoyano
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 3
14 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cordoba vs Alcoyano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcoyano nicked a narrow win over Cordoba 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Cordoba at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Cordoba had 66% of the ball to Alcoyano's 34%, shots finished 16-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cordoba had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Cordoba and 1.00 for Alcoyano.

What was the final score of Cordoba vs Alcoyano?

Cordoba 0-1 Alcoyano in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cordoba vs Alcoyano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Cordoba 57%, draw 24%, Alcoyano 20%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cordoba) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cordoba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
13 Apr 2024
17:00 San Fernando vs Intercity Alicante Analysis →
17:00 Cornella vs Arenteiro Analysis →
17:00 Merida AD vs Algeciras Analysis →
19:00 Cultural Leonesa vs Real Sociedad II Analysis →
21:00 Teruel vs Deportivo La Coruna Analysis →
21:00 Sestao River vs Real Union Analysis →