Real Madrid II 1-0 Hercules — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.44
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.9
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+0.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.9pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid II EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Hercules EU Bookmakers 31%
+2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -16%
1.83/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/2.21
+36% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -44%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
453 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid II
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hercules
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
9 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
01.02.2014 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 4-0 HT 2-0 Hercules Hercules İS2
31.08.2013 Hercules Hercules 2-1 HT 1-1 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS2
11.03.2013 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 1-1 HT 0-1 Hercules Hercules İS2
08.10.2012 Hercules Hercules 2-4 HT 2-1 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS2
03.02.2007 Hercules Hercules 0-3 HT 0-0 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS2
02.09.2006 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 0-3 HT 0-0 Hercules Hercules İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid II
1-0
AWAY Hercules
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Madrid II vs Hercules
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid II nicked a narrow win over Hercules 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Madrid II as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Real Madrid II had 54% of the ball to Hercules's 46%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Real Madrid II and 1.33 for Hercules.

What was the final score of Real Madrid II vs Hercules?

Real Madrid II 1-0 Hercules in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid II vs Hercules?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid II 46%, draw 27%, Hercules 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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