Osasuna II 0-3 Ponferradina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.84
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+1.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.2pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osasuna II EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.23/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.40
+17% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
273 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osasuna II
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Ponferradina
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.02.2024 Osasuna II Osasuna II 0-1 HT 0-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS3
30.09.2023 Ponferradina Ponferradina 2-1 HT 1-0 Osasuna II Osasuna II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osasuna II
0-3
AWAY Ponferradina
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Osasuna II vs Ponferradina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ponferradina ran out comfortable winners over Osasuna II 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ponferradina as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Osasuna II had 54% of the ball to Ponferradina's 46%, shots finished 8-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ponferradina led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Osasuna II and 1.50 for Ponferradina.

What was the final score of Osasuna II vs Ponferradina?

Osasuna II 0-3 Ponferradina in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osasuna II vs Ponferradina?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ponferradina win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Osasuna II 30%, draw 29%, Ponferradina 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ponferradina), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ponferradina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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