Osasuna II 0-1 Ponferradina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.23
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
5.47
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.9pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.2pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.0pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osasuna II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.33/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.25
+18% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
276 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osasuna II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ponferradina
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
30.09.2023 Ponferradina Ponferradina 2-1 HT 1-0 Osasuna II Osasuna II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osasuna II
0-1
AWAY Ponferradina
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Osasuna II vs Ponferradina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ponferradina nicked a narrow win over Osasuna II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Ponferradina made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Osasuna II had 51% of the ball to Ponferradina's 49%, shots finished 10-11.

What was the final score of Osasuna II vs Ponferradina?

Osasuna II 0-1 Ponferradina in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osasuna II vs Ponferradina?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ponferradina win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Osasuna II 35%, draw 28%, Ponferradina 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ponferradina), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ponferradina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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