Athletic Bilbao II 2-0 Sestao River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
5.13
6+ Goals
9%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.4pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Bilbao II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sestao River EU Bookmakers 28%
-13% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.24/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.20
-11% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
238 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Bilbao II
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Sestao River
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
20.10.2024 Sestao River Sestao River 0-1 HT 0-1 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS3
01.11.2014 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 1-2 HT 1-1 Sestao River Sestao River İS3
08.02.2014 Sestao River Sestao River 1-0 HT 1-0 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Bilbao II
2-0
AWAY Sestao River
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Athletic Bilbao II vs Sestao River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Bilbao II beat Sestao River 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Athletic Bilbao II as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Athletic Bilbao II had 52% of the ball to Sestao River's 48%, shots finished 16-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sestao River led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Athletic Bilbao II and 1.00 for Sestao River.

What was the final score of Athletic Bilbao II vs Sestao River?

Athletic Bilbao II 2-0 Sestao River in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Bilbao II vs Sestao River?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao II 43%, draw 29%, Sestao River 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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