Sestao River 0-1 Athletic Bilbao II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.45
Over 2.5
42%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.14
2-3 Goals
44%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
5.91
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.3pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.2pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+0.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
65%
-6.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
35%
+6.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sestao River EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II EU Bookmakers 40%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -20%
0.66/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.50
-38% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sestao River
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
01.11.2014 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 1-2 HT 1-1 Sestao River Sestao River İS3
08.02.2014 Sestao River Sestao River 1-0 HT 1-0 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sestao River
0-1
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 2
1 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sestao River vs Athletic Bilbao II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Bilbao II nicked a narrow win over Sestao River 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Athletic Bilbao II made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Sestao River had 58% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao II's 42%, shots finished 9-2.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sestao River had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sestao River and 0.50 for Athletic Bilbao II.

What was the final score of Sestao River vs Athletic Bilbao II?

Sestao River 0-1 Athletic Bilbao II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sestao River vs Athletic Bilbao II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Athletic Bilbao II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sestao River 34%, draw 29%, Athletic Bilbao II 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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