Alcorcon 2-1 Real Madrid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.76
6+ Goals
9%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcorcon EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid II EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -9%
2.65/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.30
+113% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
309 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alcorcon
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Real Madrid II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
05.02.2023 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 1-1 HT 1-1 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS3
02.10.2022 Alcorcon Alcorcon 4-1 HT 3-0 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
26.01.2014 Alcorcon Alcorcon 0-2 HT 0-0 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS2
24.08.2013 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 0-1 HT 0-1 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
02.06.2013 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 4-0 HT 2-0 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
05.01.2013 Alcorcon Alcorcon 3-2 HT 1-2 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcorcon
2-1
AWAY Real Madrid II
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Alcorcon vs Real Madrid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcorcon squeezed past Real Madrid II 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Alcorcon made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alcorcon had 50% of the ball to Real Madrid II's 50%, shots finished 11-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alcorcon had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alcorcon and 1.67 for Real Madrid II.

What was the final score of Alcorcon vs Real Madrid II?

Alcorcon 2-1 Real Madrid II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcorcon vs Real Madrid II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alcorcon win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Alcorcon 38%, draw 28%, Real Madrid II 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alcorcon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alcorcon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
20 Oct 2024
00:00 Gimnastica Segoviana vs Real Union Analysis →
00:00 Merida AD vs Real Betis II Analysis →
00:00 Gimnastic Tarragona vs Osasuna II Analysis →
00:00 Ourense CF vs Arenteiro Analysis →
13:00 Yeclano vs Hercules Analysis →
13:00 Intercity Alicante vs UD Ibiza Analysis →