Ourense CF 0-1 Arenteiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
39%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.23
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
5.54
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
21%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-3.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.5pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ourense CF EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Arenteiro EU Bookmakers 39%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -52% / -52%
1.96/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.48
+72% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
313 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ourense CF
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Arenteiro
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
2 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
04.12.2022 Arenteiro Arenteiro 1-0 HT 1-0 Ourense CF Ourense CF İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ourense CF
0-1
AWAY Arenteiro
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Ourense CF vs Arenteiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arenteiro squeezed past Ourense CF 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Arenteiro made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Ourense CF had 45% of the ball to Arenteiro's 55%, shots finished 7-11.

What was the final score of Ourense CF vs Arenteiro?

Ourense CF 0-1 Arenteiro in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ourense CF vs Arenteiro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arenteiro win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ourense CF 32%, draw 29%, Arenteiro 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arenteiro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arenteiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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