Merida AD 1-1 Real Betis II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.47
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
4.82
6+ Goals
11%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-1.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Merida AD EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Betis II EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.21/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/0.90
-11% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Merida AD
1-1
AWAY Real Betis II
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Merida AD vs Real Betis II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Merida AD and Real Betis II shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Merida AD at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Merida AD had 42% of the ball to Real Betis II's 58%, shots finished 7-14.

What was the final score of Merida AD vs Real Betis II?

Merida AD 1-1 Real Betis II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Merida AD vs Real Betis II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Merida AD win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Merida AD 41%, draw 29%, Real Betis II 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Merida AD), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Merida AD) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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