Badalona (K) 2-4 Atletico Madrid (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.69
Draw
33%
3.54
Away
33%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
24%
+9.7pp
33%
Draw
25%
+8.6pp
33%
Away Win
52%
-18.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Badalona (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
0.97/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.18
-54% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
11.5 Crosses 17.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Badalona (K)
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K)
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.93 xG 1.49
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
202 Passes 428
69% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.11.2025 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Badalona (K) Badalona (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
18.01.2025 Badalona (K) Badalona (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
24.05.2024 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) 3-1 HT 1-1 Badalona (K) Badalona (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
27.01.2024 Badalona (K) Badalona (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Badalona (K)
2-4
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K)
1.48 xG 1.92
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 4
397 Passes 219
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Badalona (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid (K) got the better of Badalona (K) 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Atletico Madrid (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Badalona (K) had 61% of the ball to Atletico Madrid (K)'s 39%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.48 to 1.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Badalona (K) and 1.75 for Atletico Madrid (K).

What was the final score of Badalona (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)?

Badalona (K) 2-4 Atletico Madrid (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Badalona (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Badalona (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Badalona (K) 33%, draw 33%, Atletico Madrid (K) 33%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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