Hansa Rostock 2-5 Jahn Regensburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 25 Apr 2026

Hansa Rostock
2-5 HT 0-3
Jahn Regensburg
📅25/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

Hansa Rostock vs Jahn Regensburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.74
Over 2.5
54%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.99
2-3 Goals
37%
2.06
4-5 Goals
25%
2.46
6+ Goals
12%
5.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.03
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
22%
4.58
X/2
9%
10.0
X/X
9%
6.88
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
18.35
2/2
10%
6.62
2/X
6%
14.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.35 — our 9% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-1.7pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.2pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+2.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
33%
+13.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
67%
-13.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.1pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hansa Rostock v Jahn Regensburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hansa Rostock EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 25%
-11% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -6%
1.78/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.63
-7% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 72%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
25.5 Crosses 20.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6

Hansa Rostock vs Jahn Regensburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hansa Rostock
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.57 xG 1.53
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
264 Passes 325
68% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.11.2025 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 0-3 HT 0-1 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL3
06.05.2023 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 2-0 HT 1-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
29.10.2022 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 0-3 HT 0-2 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2
17.04.2022 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 1-1 HT 1-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
06.11.2021 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 2-3 HT 1-1 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2
27.10.2021 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 3-3 HT 0-1 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AFK

Hansa Rostock 2-5 Jahn Regensburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hansa Rostock
2-5
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 4
465 Passes 202
83% Pass Accuracy 69%
25 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hansa Rostock vs Jahn Regensburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jahn Regensburg ran out comfortable winners over Hansa Rostock 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Hansa Rostock at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Hansa Rostock had 65% of the ball to Jahn Regensburg's 35%, shots finished 13-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hansa Rostock had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Hansa Rostock and 1.00 for Jahn Regensburg.

What was the final score of Hansa Rostock vs Jahn Regensburg?

Hansa Rostock 2-5 Jahn Regensburg in the Germany - 3rd Division on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hansa Rostock vs Jahn Regensburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hansa Rostock win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Hansa Rostock 55%, draw 20%, Jahn Regensburg 25%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hansa Rostock) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hansa Rostock) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL3 More Germany - 3rd Division
25 Apr 2026
15:00 Osnabrück vs Verl Analysis →
15:00 Hoffenheim II vs Ingolstadt Analysis →
15:00 1860 München vs Ulm 1846 Analysis →