Osnabrück 2-1 Verl — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.64
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.11
6+ Goals
12%
10.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.35
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
8%
12.45
X/1
18%
5.48
X/2
15%
6.13
X/X
9%
4.91
2/1 EV+ ✓
10%
25.0
2/2
13%
3.99
2/X
7%
12.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.0 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.2pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osnabrück EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Verl EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +16%
1.50/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.80/1.15
-28% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 81%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
21.9 Crosses 14.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osnabrück
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Verl
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
260 Passes 410
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.11.2025 Verl Verl 4-1 HT 2-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
17.05.2025 Osnabrück Osnabrück 0-3 HT 0-2 Verl Verl AL3
22.12.2024 Verl Verl 1-1 HT 1-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
08.05.2023 Verl Verl 0-1 HT 0-1 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
09.11.2022 Osnabrück Osnabrück 2-1 HT 0-1 Verl Verl AL3
11.04.2022 Osnabrück Osnabrück 3-2 HT 1-1 Verl Verl AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osnabrück
2-1
AWAY Verl
32% Ball Possession 68%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
171 Passes 489
65% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Osnabrück vs Verl
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osnabrück squeezed past Verl 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Osnabrück as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Osnabrück had 32% of the ball to Verl's 68%, shots finished 10-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osnabrück had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Osnabrück and 1.83 for Verl.

What was the final score of Osnabrück vs Verl?

Osnabrück 2-1 Verl in the Germany - 3rd Division on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osnabrück vs Verl?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osnabrück win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Osnabrück 42%, draw 24%, Verl 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Osnabrück), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Osnabrück) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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