Osnabrück 0-3 Verl — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.2pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.1pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.3pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osnabrück EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Verl EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +13%
1.50/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.80/1.15
-17% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
22.3 Crosses 14.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osnabrück
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Verl
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
206 Passes 365
63% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
22.12.2024 Verl Verl 1-1 HT 1-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
08.05.2023 Verl Verl 0-1 HT 0-1 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
09.11.2022 Osnabrück Osnabrück 2-1 HT 0-1 Verl Verl AL3
11.04.2022 Osnabrück Osnabrück 3-2 HT 1-1 Verl Verl AL3
01.11.2021 Verl Verl 1-2 HT 0-2 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osnabrück
0-3
AWAY Verl
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
312 Passes 271
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Osnabrück vs Verl
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Verl ran out comfortable winners over Osnabrück 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Verl found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Osnabrück had 53% of the ball to Verl's 47%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Osnabrück had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Osnabrück and 1.00 for Verl.

What was the final score of Osnabrück vs Verl?

Osnabrück 0-3 Verl in the Germany - 3rd Division on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osnabrück vs Verl?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osnabrück win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Osnabrück 37%, draw 30%, Verl 33%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Osnabrück) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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