Arminia Bielefeld 1-0 Waldhof Mannheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
28%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.23
Over 2.5
47%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
63%
-15.3pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.8pp
28%
Away Win
16%
+11.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.9pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arminia Bielefeld EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim EU Bookmakers 20%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -14%
1.75/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.85
-7% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
395 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
24.5 Crosses 23.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arminia Bielefeld
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
221 Passes 184
70% Pass Accuracy 63%
34 Crosses 35
3 Yellow Cards 4
22.12.2024 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 1-1 HT 0-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
15.03.2024 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 1-0 HT 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
14.10.2023 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 3-1 HT 0-1 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
02.02.2002 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 1-1 HT 0-1 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2
10.08.2001 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 5-0 HT 3-0 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL2
19.03.2001 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 3-3 HT 1-2 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arminia Bielefeld
1-0
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
388 Passes 152
81% Pass Accuracy 63%
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arminia Bielefeld vs Waldhof Mannheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arminia Bielefeld squeezed past Waldhof Mannheim 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arminia Bielefeld as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Arminia Bielefeld had 67% of the ball to Waldhof Mannheim's 33%, shots finished 16-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arminia Bielefeld had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Arminia Bielefeld and 1.17 for Waldhof Mannheim.

What was the final score of Arminia Bielefeld vs Waldhof Mannheim?

Arminia Bielefeld 1-0 Waldhof Mannheim in the Germany - 3rd Division on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arminia Bielefeld vs Waldhof Mannheim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arminia Bielefeld win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Arminia Bielefeld 48%, draw 25%, Waldhof Mannheim 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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