Saarbrücken 2-1 Borussia Dortmund II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.96
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
62%
-5.5pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.9pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+2.5pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.0pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saarbrücken EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.79/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.66
-6% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.3 Crosses 17.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saarbrücken
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
336 Passes 224
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2024 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 0-0 HT 0-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
02.02.2024 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 1-1 HT 1-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
01.09.2023 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-0 HT 1-0 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
11.02.2023 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 1-2 HT 1-1 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
10.08.2022 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 1-0 HT 0-0 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
26.01.2022 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-0 HT 0-0 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saarbrücken
2-1
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II
56% Ball Possession 44%
36 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 6
16 Corners 6
316 Passes 245
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
34 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Saarbrücken vs Borussia Dortmund II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saarbrücken nicked a narrow win over Borussia Dortmund II 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Saarbrücken as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Saarbrücken had 56% of the ball to Borussia Dortmund II's 44%, shots finished 36-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saarbrücken had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Saarbrücken and 0.33 for Borussia Dortmund II.

What was the final score of Saarbrücken vs Borussia Dortmund II?

Saarbrücken 2-1 Borussia Dortmund II in the Germany - 3rd Division on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saarbrücken vs Borussia Dortmund II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saarbrücken win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Saarbrücken 57%, draw 22%, Borussia Dortmund II 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saarbrücken), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Saarbrücken) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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