Energie Cottbus 1-4 Ingolstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 17 May 2025

Energie Cottbus
1-4 HT 1-1
Ingolstadt
📅17/05/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Energie Cottbus vs Ingolstadt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.89
Over 2.5
60%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-11.4pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.4pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+9.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
31%
+9.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
69%
-9.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.5pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Energie Cottbus v Ingolstadt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Energie Cottbus EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 23%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
2.30/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.75
+23% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
408 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
24.8 Crosses 15.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.5

Energie Cottbus vs Ingolstadt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Energie Cottbus
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Ingolstadt
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
366 Passes 262
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.12.2024 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-1 HT 0-1 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL3
11.05.2014 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 2-0 HT 1-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL2
08.12.2013 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 1-2 HT 1-1 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL2
09.12.2012 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 1-1 HT 1-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL2
03.08.2012 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 2-2 HT 2-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL2
29.04.2012 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-0 HT 0-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL2

Energie Cottbus 1-4 Ingolstadt — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Energie Cottbus
1-4
AWAY Ingolstadt
47% Ball Possession 53%
19 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 3
239 Passes 297
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
34 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Energie Cottbus vs Ingolstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ingolstadt swept aside Energie Cottbus 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Energie Cottbus at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Energie Cottbus had 47% of the ball to Ingolstadt's 53%, shots finished 19-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ingolstadt led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Energie Cottbus and 1.50 for Ingolstadt.

What was the final score of Energie Cottbus vs Ingolstadt?

Energie Cottbus 1-4 Ingolstadt in the Germany - 3rd Division on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Energie Cottbus vs Ingolstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Energie Cottbus win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Energie Cottbus 48%, draw 23%, Ingolstadt 29%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Energie Cottbus) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Energie Cottbus) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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