Borussia Dortmund II 0-0 Saarbrücken — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.35
2-3 Goals
38%
1.89
4-5 Goals
26%
3.01
6+ Goals
11%
9.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.09
1/2
7%
24.3
1/X
9%
13.0
X/1
10%
6.38
X/2
10%
5.3
X/X
9%
5.34
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
23%
3.15
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
12.9
Value flag · 2/X at 12.9 — our 10% vs market 5.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.1pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Borussia Dortmund II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Saarbrücken EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +2%
1.58/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.26
+12% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
392 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.6 Crosses 14.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Borussia Dortmund II
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Saarbrücken
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.02.2024 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 1-1 HT 1-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
01.09.2023 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-0 HT 1-0 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
11.02.2023 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 1-2 HT 1-1 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
10.08.2022 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 1-0 HT 0-0 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
26.01.2022 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-0 HT 0-0 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
21.08.2021 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 0-0 HT 0-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Borussia Dortmund II
0-0
AWAY Saarbrücken
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 4
224 Passes 336
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Borussia Dortmund II vs Saarbrücken
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Borussia Dortmund II and Saarbrücken played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Borussia Dortmund II had 43% of the ball to Saarbrücken's 57%, shots finished 14-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saarbrücken led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Borussia Dortmund II and 1.33 for Saarbrücken.

What was the final score of Borussia Dortmund II vs Saarbrücken?

Borussia Dortmund II 0-0 Saarbrücken in the Germany - 3rd Division on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Borussia Dortmund II vs Saarbrücken?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saarbrücken win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Borussia Dortmund II 32%, draw 28%, Saarbrücken 40%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Saarbrücken) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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