Rot-Weiss Essen 2-2 Stuttgart II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 21 Dec 2024

Rot-Weiss Essen
2-2 HT 1-0
Stuttgart II
📅21/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Rot-Weiss Essen vs Stuttgart II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.55
No
52%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.33
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals
22%
3.03
6+ Goals
10%
9.24
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.33 — our 27% vs market 18.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.9
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
19%
5.01
X/2
12%
6.89
X/X
11%
5.35
2/1
8%
23.4
2/2
15%
4.54
2/X
7%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-4.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.2pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rot-Weiss Essen v Stuttgart II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Stuttgart II EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -27%
1.70/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/2.58
+3% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / -42%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.4 Crosses 9.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Rot-Weiss Essen 2-2 Stuttgart II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
2-2
AWAY Stuttgart II
42% Ball Possession 58%
26 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
298 Passes 444
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Essen vs Stuttgart II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Essen and Stuttgart II couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Rot-Weiss Essen at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Rot-Weiss Essen had 42% of the ball to Stuttgart II's 58%, shots finished 26-12.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Essen vs Stuttgart II?

Rot-Weiss Essen 2-2 Stuttgart II in the Germany - 3rd Division on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Essen vs Stuttgart II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Essen win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Essen 41%, draw 25%, Stuttgart II 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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