Velbert 3-3 Köln II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
54%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
12%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
24%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
30%
-9.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
54%
Away Win
45%
+8.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.1pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Velbert EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Köln II EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.15/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.37
-15% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Velbert
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Köln II
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.80
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.11.2025 Köln II Köln II 4-1 HT 2-1 Velbert Velbert ALMBÖL
20.04.2024 Köln II Köln II 0-3 HT 0-2 Velbert Velbert ALMBÖL
28.10.2023 Velbert Velbert 1-5 HT 0-1 Köln II Köln II ALMBÖL
10.07.2019 Velbert Velbert 3-3 HT 3-1 Köln II Köln II HAZ
09.03.2014 Velbert Velbert 1-2 HT 0-1 Köln II Köln II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Velbert vs Köln II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Velbert and Köln II shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Köln II at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Köln II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Velbert and 2.80 for Köln II.

What was the final score of Velbert vs Köln II?

Velbert 3-3 Köln II in the Germany - Regional League on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Velbert vs Köln II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Köln II win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Velbert 21%, draw 25%, Köln II 54%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Köln II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Köln II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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