Köln II 0-3 Velbert — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.61
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
30%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
58%
-16.2pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.6pp
30%
Away Win
19%
+10.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.1pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Köln II EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Velbert EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.69/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/2.18
+26% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Köln II
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Velbert
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
70% Ball Possession 30%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 0
28.10.2023 Velbert Velbert 1-5 HT 0-1 Köln II Köln II ALMBÖL
10.07.2019 Velbert Velbert 3-3 HT 3-1 Köln II Köln II HAZ
09.03.2014 Velbert Velbert 1-2 HT 0-1 Köln II Köln II ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Köln II
0-3
AWAY Velbert
61% Ball Possession 39%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Köln II vs Velbert
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Velbert ran out comfortable winners over Köln II 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Köln II at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Köln II had 61% of the ball to Velbert's 39%, shots finished 7-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Köln II had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Köln II and 1.67 for Velbert.

What was the final score of Köln II vs Velbert?

Köln II 0-3 Velbert in the Germany - Regional League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Köln II vs Velbert?

Before kick-off our model rated a Köln II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Köln II 42%, draw 28%, Velbert 30%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Köln II), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Köln II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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