Austria Salzburg 1-0 Kapfenberger SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.1
Over
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
61%
1.59
No
39%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
23%
3.88
2-3
40%
1.79
4-5
25%
2.89
6+
12%
8.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.41
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
15%
4.58
X/2
8%
8.17
X/X
9%
5.42
2/1
9%
21.4
2/2
12%
5.86
2/X
11%
14.05
Value flag · 2/X at 14.05 — our 11% vs market 4.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Austria Salzburg The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Kapfenberger SV The Market 29%
Bad Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
1.06 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.28
1.34 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.72
Bad Attackvs comparable teams Average
Average Defensevs comparable teams Average
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
389 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
Crosses 14.6
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Salzburg
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Kapfenberger SV
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.60
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
31.10.2025 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 4-1 HT 2-0 Austria Salzburg Austria Salzburg AU2
25.05.2016 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 1-1 HT 1-0 Austria Salzburg Austria Salzburg AU2
12.04.2016 Austria Salzburg Austria Salzburg 0-4 HT 0-3 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
20.11.2015 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 2-3 HT 0-2 Austria Salzburg Austria Salzburg AU2
15.09.2015 Austria Salzburg Austria Salzburg 0-2 HT 0-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
REVIEW Austria Salzburg vs Kapfenberger SV
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Austria Salzburg shaded a tight game against Kapfenberger SV 1-0.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Austria Salzburg as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kapfenberger SV led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Austria Salzburg against 2.60 for Kapfenberger SV.

Austria Salzburg vs Kapfenberger SV Result & Final Score

Austria Salzburg 1-0 Kapfenberger SV in the Austria - 1st Division on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Austria Salzburg vs Kapfenberger SV Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Austria Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Austria Salzburg 50%, draw 25%, Kapfenberger SV 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austria Salzburg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Austria Salzburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →