Bulleen Lions 3-0 North Geelong Warriors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AVPL1, 25 Apr 2026

Bulleen Lions
3-0
North Geelong Warriors
📅25/04/2026 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
AVPL1 – 2026

Bulleen Lions vs North Geelong Warriors Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.09
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
47%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.38
No
49%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
52%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
24%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
44%
-13.0pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
47%
Away Win
33%
+13.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
68%
-17.7pp
49%
BTTS No
32%
+17.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bulleen Lions v North Geelong Warriors — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bulleen Lions EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY North Geelong Warriors EU Bookmakers 37%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
1.51/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-27% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Bulleen Lions vs North Geelong Warriors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bulleen Lions cruised past North Geelong Warriors 3-0.

Our pre-match lean was North Geelong Warriors at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Bulleen Lions vs North Geelong Warriors?

Bulleen Lions 3-0 North Geelong Warriors in the AVPL1 on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bulleen Lions vs North Geelong Warriors?

Before kick-off our model rated an North Geelong Warriors win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bulleen Lions 31%, draw 22%, North Geelong Warriors 47%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (North Geelong Warriors), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (North Geelong Warriors) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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