Melbourne Srbija 2-1 Melbourne Victory II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AVPL1, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.46
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
57%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
33%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
25%
-2.4pp
20%
Draw
22%
-1.7pp
57%
Away Win
53%
+4.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.4pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne Srbija EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Victory II EU Bookmakers 57%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+30% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
279 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Melbourne Srbija vs Melbourne Victory II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Srbija nicked a narrow win over Melbourne Victory II 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Melbourne Victory II at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Melbourne Srbija vs Melbourne Victory II?

Melbourne Srbija 2-1 Melbourne Victory II in the AVPL1 on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne Srbija vs Melbourne Victory II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne Victory II win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Srbija 23%, draw 20%, Melbourne Victory II 57%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Melbourne Victory II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melbourne Victory II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVPL1 More AVPL1
25 Apr 2026
08:00 Port Melbourne vs Manningham United Blues Analysis →
11:30 Bulleen Lions vs North Geelong Warriors Analysis →