Roskilde 0-1 Thisted — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 25 Apr 2026

Roskilde
0-1 HT 0-1
Thisted
📅25/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Denmark - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Roskilde vs Thisted Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
2.92
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.57
6+ Goals
11%
15.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 29% vs market 26.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+1.2pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.8pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Roskilde v Thisted — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roskilde EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Thisted EU Bookmakers 26%
+9% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +33%
2.16/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.10
+36% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +35%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5

Roskilde vs Thisted Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roskilde
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Thisted
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.11.2025 Roskilde Roskilde 1-2 HT 1-1 Thisted Thisted DAN2
21.09.2025 Thisted Thisted 0-0 HT 0-0 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
18.11.2023 Thisted Thisted 1-3 HT 0-2 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
14.10.2023 Roskilde Roskilde 2-3 HT 1-3 Thisted Thisted DAN2
06.04.2023 Roskilde Roskilde 0-1 HT 0-1 Thisted Thisted DAN2
27.08.2022 Thisted Thisted 1-1 HT 1-1 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2

Roskilde 0-1 Thisted — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roskilde
0-1
AWAY Thisted
67% Ball Possession 33%
3 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Roskilde vs Thisted
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thisted nicked a narrow win over Roskilde 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Roskilde at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Roskilde had 67% of the ball to Thisted's 33%, shots finished 3-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thisted led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Roskilde and 1.33 for Thisted.

What was the final score of Roskilde vs Thisted?

Roskilde 0-1 Thisted in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roskilde vs Thisted?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roskilde win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Roskilde 52%, draw 20%, Thisted 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Roskilde), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roskilde) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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