Naesby 1-1 Vanlose — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-0.7pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.6pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.1pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naesby EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Vanlose EU Bookmakers 29%
+11% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -16%
2.95/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.56
+70% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naesby
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Vanlose
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2026 Vanlose Vanlose 2-0 HT 1-0 Naesby Naesby DAN3
23.08.2025 Naesby Naesby 1-0 HT 0-0 Vanlose Vanlose DAN3
18.11.2023 Vanlose Vanlose 0-1 HT 0-0 Naesby Naesby DAN3
07.10.2023 Naesby Naesby 1-1 HT 1-0 Vanlose Vanlose DAN3
10.06.2023 Vanlose Vanlose 1-1 HT 0-1 Naesby Naesby DAN3
06.05.2023 Naesby Naesby 0-2 HT 0-1 Vanlose Vanlose DAN3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naesby
1-1
AWAY Vanlose
66% Ball Possession 34%
13 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Naesby vs Vanlose
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naesby and Vanlose couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Naesby at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Naesby had 66% of the ball to Vanlose's 34%, shots finished 13-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Naesby and 1.00 for Vanlose.

What was the final score of Naesby vs Vanlose?

Naesby 1-1 Vanlose in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naesby vs Vanlose?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naesby win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Naesby 49%, draw 22%, Vanlose 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Naesby), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naesby) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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