Independiente Del Valle 2-1 Leones del Norte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 25 Apr 2026

Independiente Del Valle
2-1 HT 1-1
Leones del Norte
📅25/04/2026 · 🕒22:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2026

Independiente Del Valle vs Leones del Norte Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
74%
1.3
Draw
17%
4.81
Away
9%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.15
Over
53%
1.69
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.07
No
57%
1.67
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
40%
4-5
24%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
5%
2/1
15%
2/2
2%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Independiente Del Valle v Leones del Norte — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Independiente Del Valle The Market 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Leones del Norte The Market 14%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.75 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.35
0.63 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 2.09
Average Attackvs comparable teams Bad
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Strong
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
437 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 72%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.4
23.0 Crosses 11.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.3

Independiente Del Valle 2-1 Leones del Norte — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Del Valle
2-1
AWAY Leones del Norte
2.49 xG 0.61
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
413 Passes 220
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 4
21 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Independiente Del Valle vs Leones del Norte
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Independiente Del Valle found just enough to beat Leones del Norte 2-1. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Independiente Del Valle as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

The match data tells the story: possession split 62% to 38% in Independiente Del Valle's favour, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 2.49 to 0.61 — on chances created, Independiente Del Valle won this by more than the scoreboard admits.

Independiente Del Valle vs Leones del Norte Result & Final Score

Independiente Del Valle 2-1 Leones del Norte in the Ecuador - Premier on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Independiente Del Valle vs Leones del Norte Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Independiente Del Valle 74%, draw 17%, Leones del Norte 9%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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