Mushuc Runa 4-1 Deportivo Cuenca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.67
Over
45%
2.02
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.07
No
50%
1.67
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
43%
4-5
18%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Mushuc Runa The Market 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca The Market 21%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
1.49 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.04
0.93 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.37
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Average
Average Defensevs comparable teams Great
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
294 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 74%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
25.9 Crosses 14.5
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mushuc Runa
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.90 xG 1.62
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
190 Passes 253
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
28.06.2025 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-0 HT 0-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
01.03.2025 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 3-1 HT 2-1 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
19.10.2024 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
27.04.2024 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 5-0 HT 4-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
21.10.2023 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
13.05.2023 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 3-0 HT 1-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mushuc Runa
4-1
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca
1.79 xG 1.24
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 8
374 Passes 334
88% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Mushuc Runa vs Deportivo Cuenca
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Mushuc Runa ran out comfortable winners over Deportivo Cuenca 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mushuc Runa as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Under the surface, possession split 50% to 50% in Mushuc Runa's favour, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.79 to 1.24.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Cuenca led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Mushuc Runa against 2.00 for Deportivo Cuenca.

Mushuc Runa vs Deportivo Cuenca Result & Final Score

Mushuc Runa 4-1 Deportivo Cuenca in the Ecuador - Premier on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Mushuc Runa vs Deportivo Cuenca Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Mushuc Runa win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 50%, draw 26%, Deportivo Cuenca 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mushuc Runa) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mushuc Runa) ✗ Under 2.5
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