Mushuc Runa vs Deportivo Cuenca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mushuc Runa v Deportivo Cuenca — Team-Based Signals
Mushuc Runa vs Deportivo Cuenca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Deportivo Cuenca
EKV1
3-0
HT 1-0
Mushuc Runa
EKV1
3-1
HT 2-1
Mushuc Runa
EKV1
1-0
HT 1-0
Deportivo Cuenca
EKV1
Mushuc Runa 3-1 Deportivo Cuenca — Actual Match Statistics
Mushuc Runa beat Deportivo Cuenca 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mushuc Runa as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Mushuc Runa had 50% of the ball to Deportivo Cuenca's 50%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 2.26 to 0.51.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Cuenca led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Mushuc Runa and 2.17 for Deportivo Cuenca.
What was the final score of Mushuc Runa vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Mushuc Runa 3-1 Deportivo Cuenca in the Ecuador - Premier on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mushuc Runa vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mushuc Runa win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 47%, draw 27%, Deportivo Cuenca 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mushuc Runa) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.