Emelec 0-0 Macara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 1 Mar 2025

Emelec
0-0 HT 0-0
Macara
📅01/03/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
Ecuador - Premier – 2025

Emelec vs Macara Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.64
Over 2.5
33%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.88
No
62%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.0pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.7pp
67%
Under 2.5
57%
+10.3pp
33%
Over 2.5
43%
-10.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
49%
-11.4pp
62%
BTTS No
51%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Emelec v Macara — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emelec EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Macara EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -3%
1.11/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.95
-28% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
20.8 Crosses 16.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.2

Emelec vs Macara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emelec
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Macara
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.78 xG 1.18
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
390 Passes 198
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.11.2024 Macara Macara 1-1 HT 0-1 Emelec Emelec EKV1
18.05.2024 Emelec Emelec 0-1 HT 0-1 Macara Macara EKV1
11.07.2022 Macara Macara 1-3 HT 1-2 Emelec Emelec EKV1
19.02.2022 Emelec Emelec 4-0 HT 4-0 Macara Macara EKV1
15.08.2021 Emelec Emelec 3-0 HT 1-0 Macara Macara EKV1
07.04.2021 Emelec Emelec 2-0 HT 1-0 Macara Macara CON CSA

Emelec 0-0 Macara — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emelec
0-0
AWAY Macara
1.43 xG 1.15
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
250 Passes 175
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Box Touches 11
15 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Emelec vs Macara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Emelec and Macara played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Emelec at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Emelec had 56% of the ball to Macara's 44%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.43 to 1.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emelec had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Emelec and 0.50 for Macara.

What was the final score of Emelec vs Macara?

Emelec 0-0 Macara in the Ecuador - Premier on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emelec vs Macara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Emelec win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Emelec 42%, draw 30%, Macara 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Emelec) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Emelec) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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