Emelec 0-1 Macara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 18 May 2024

Emelec
0-1 HT 0-1
Macara
📅18/05/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Emelec vs Macara Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
27%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.67
Over 2.5
51%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.27
No
52%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-8.7pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.8pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+10.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.9pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Emelec v Macara — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emelec EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Macara EU Bookmakers 19%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.63/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.54
-4% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -12%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
428 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 75%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
20.0 Crosses 16.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.2

Emelec vs Macara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emelec
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Macara
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.83 xG 0.88
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
352 Passes 199
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
11.07.2022 Macara Macara 1-3 HT 1-2 Emelec Emelec EKV1
19.02.2022 Emelec Emelec 4-0 HT 4-0 Macara Macara EKV1
15.08.2021 Emelec Emelec 3-0 HT 1-0 Macara Macara EKV1
07.04.2021 Emelec Emelec 2-0 HT 1-0 Macara Macara CON CSA
17.03.2021 Macara Macara 2-2 HT 1-2 Emelec Emelec CON CSA
12.03.2021 Macara Macara 1-1 HT 0-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1

Emelec 0-1 Macara — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emelec
0-1
AWAY Macara
2.15 xG 1.99
73% Ball Possession 27%
20 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 7
11 Corners 2
478 Passes 144
88% Pass Accuracy 69%
36 Box Touches 20
37 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Emelec vs Macara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macara squeezed past Emelec 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Emelec at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Emelec had 73% of the ball to Macara's 27%, shots finished 20-22, expected goals 2.15 to 1.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emelec had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Emelec and 0.67 for Macara.

What was the final score of Emelec vs Macara?

Emelec 0-1 Macara in the Ecuador - Premier on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emelec vs Macara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Emelec win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Emelec 52%, draw 21%, Macara 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Emelec), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Emelec) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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