Deportivo Cuenca 5-2 Imbabura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-2.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.8pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cuenca EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Imbabura EU Bookmakers 22%
+5% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.55/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.29
+5% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / -24%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
368 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 76%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
21.9 Crosses 13.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
5-2
AWAY Imbabura
3.48 xG 1.78
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
444 Passes 230
90% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 6
11 Crosses 5
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cuenca vs Imbabura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Cuenca ran out comfortable winners over Imbabura 5-2. Half-time: 4-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportivo Cuenca as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Cuenca had 63% of the ball to Imbabura's 37%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 3.48 to 1.78.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cuenca vs Imbabura?

Deportivo Cuenca 5-2 Imbabura in the Ecuador - Premier on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cuenca vs Imbabura?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Cuenca win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cuenca 53%, draw 25%, Imbabura 22%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Cuenca) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Cuenca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
EKV1 More Ecuador - Premier
18 May 2024
21:00 Libertad vs El Nacional Analysis →
23:30 Emelec vs Macara Analysis →