Macara 1-1 Emelec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 9 Nov 2024

Macara
1-1 HT 0-1
Emelec
📅09/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Macara vs Emelec Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.4pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.9pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.2pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Macara v Emelec — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macara EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Emelec EU Bookmakers 31%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +14%
1.26/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.31
-18% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
17.4 Crosses 12.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.2

Macara vs Emelec Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macara
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Emelec
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.04 xG 1.92
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
200 Passes 391
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.05.2024 Emelec Emelec 0-1 HT 0-1 Macara Macara EKV1
11.07.2022 Macara Macara 1-3 HT 1-2 Emelec Emelec EKV1
19.02.2022 Emelec Emelec 4-0 HT 4-0 Macara Macara EKV1
15.08.2021 Emelec Emelec 3-0 HT 1-0 Macara Macara EKV1
07.04.2021 Emelec Emelec 2-0 HT 1-0 Macara Macara CON CSA
17.03.2021 Macara Macara 2-2 HT 1-2 Emelec Emelec CON CSA

Macara 1-1 Emelec — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macara
1-1
AWAY Emelec
2.70 xG 0.54
50% Ball Possession 50%
24 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
266 Passes 279
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Macara vs Emelec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macara and Emelec couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Macara had 50% of the ball to Emelec's 50%, shots finished 24-11, expected goals 2.70 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emelec led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Macara and 2.33 for Emelec.

What was the final score of Macara vs Emelec?

Macara 1-1 Emelec in the Ecuador - Premier on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macara vs Emelec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Macara win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Macara 38%, draw 32%, Emelec 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Macara), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Macara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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