LDU Quito 2-1 Independiente Del Valle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.4pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +4%
0.85/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.20
+5% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -27%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
261 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
14.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
14.6 Crosses 14.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LDU Quito
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.01 xG 0.85
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
255 Passes 393
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
13 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.05.2024 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-1 HT 1-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
18.12.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-1 HT 1-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
11.12.2023 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 0-0 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
05.11.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-0 HT 2-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
28.05.2023 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 2-3 HT 2-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
18.09.2022 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-2 HT 1-2 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LDU Quito
2-1
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
1.13 xG 0.70
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
199 Passes 359
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 27
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH LDU Quito vs Independiente Del Valle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Quito nicked a narrow win over Independiente Del Valle 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 36% — and on the day LDU Quito made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, LDU Quito had 38% of the ball to Independiente Del Valle's 62%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 1.13 to 0.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for LDU Quito and 1.00 for Independiente Del Valle.

What was the final score of LDU Quito vs Independiente Del Valle?

LDU Quito 2-1 Independiente Del Valle in the Ecuador - Premier on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs Independiente Del Valle?

Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 37%, draw 26%, Independiente Del Valle 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LDU Quito), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✓ Over 2.5
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