Independiente Del Valle 1-1 LDU Quito — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.8
Over 2.5
39%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
15%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-6.6pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.3pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+9.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-9.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.8pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 31%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -5%
1.31/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.97
-10% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
17.8 Crosses 16.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Del Valle
1W-3D-2L
AWAY LDU Quito
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.87 xG 1.03
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
353 Passes 272
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.12.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-1 HT 1-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
11.12.2023 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 0-0 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
05.11.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-0 HT 2-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
28.05.2023 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 2-3 HT 2-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
18.09.2022 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-2 HT 1-2 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
02.05.2022 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-0 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Del Valle
1-1
AWAY LDU Quito
0.65 xG 0.33
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
406 Passes 226
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 8
21 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Independiente Del Valle vs LDU Quito
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Del Valle and LDU Quito shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 34% / 29% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Independiente Del Valle had 62% of the ball to LDU Quito's 38%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 0.65 to 0.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Independiente Del Valle and 1.33 for LDU Quito.

What was the final score of Independiente Del Valle vs LDU Quito?

Independiente Del Valle 1-1 LDU Quito in the Ecuador - Premier on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Del Valle vs LDU Quito?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Independiente Del Valle 37%, draw 34%, LDU Quito 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Independiente Del Valle), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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