Mushuc Runa 5-0 Delfin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.4pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mushuc Runa EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Delfin EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +6%
1.39/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.46
+28% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 73%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
22.3 Crosses 14.9
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mushuc Runa
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Delfin
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.05 xG 1.12
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
297 Passes 273
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 2-0 HT 1-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
16.04.2023 Delfin Delfin 3-0 HT 1-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
25.09.2022 Delfin Delfin 0-0 HT 0-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
09.04.2022 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 1-2 HT 1-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
28.11.2021 Delfin Delfin 3-0 HT 2-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
17.07.2021 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 6-1 HT 4-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mushuc Runa
5-0
AWAY Delfin
1.68 xG 0.55
60% Ball Possession 40%
27 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
239 Passes 128
76% Pass Accuracy 59%
29 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mushuc Runa vs Delfin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mushuc Runa ran out comfortable winners over Delfin 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mushuc Runa as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Mushuc Runa had 60% of the ball to Delfin's 40%, shots finished 27-8, expected goals 1.68 to 0.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Delfin led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mushuc Runa and 1.50 for Delfin.

What was the final score of Mushuc Runa vs Delfin?

Mushuc Runa 5-0 Delfin in the Ecuador - Premier on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mushuc Runa vs Delfin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mushuc Runa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 44%, draw 28%, Delfin 28%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mushuc Runa), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mushuc Runa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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