Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Cuenca v Mushuc Runa — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Deportivo Cuenca
EKV1
3-0
HT 1-0
Mushuc Runa
EKV1
3-1
HT 2-1
Mushuc Runa
EKV1
Deportivo Cuenca 1-0 Mushuc Runa — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Cuenca nicked a narrow win over Mushuc Runa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo Cuenca as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Deportivo Cuenca had 61% of the ball to Mushuc Runa's 39%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.95 to 0.70 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Deportivo Cuenca's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Cuenca had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Deportivo Cuenca and 1.00 for Mushuc Runa.
What was the final score of Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa?
Deportivo Cuenca 1-0 Mushuc Runa in the Ecuador - Premier on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Cuenca win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cuenca 48%, draw 28%, Mushuc Runa 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Cuenca), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.