Dijon (K) 1-2 Paris FC (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.71
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
58%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.8
Over 2.5
55%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
23%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
18%
+0.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.5pp
58%
Away Win
58%
+0.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.1pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dijon (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Paris FC (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
0.95/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.28
+12% / +92% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -30%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
239 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 78%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
12.2 Crosses 17.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dijon (K)
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Paris FC (K)
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.74 xG 1.54
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
270 Passes 431
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
06.09.2025 Paris FC (K) Paris FC (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Dijon (K) Dijon (K) FRK1
14.12.2024 Paris FC (K) Paris FC (K) 4-0 HT 2-0 Dijon (K) Dijon (K) FRK1
08.05.2024 Paris FC (K) Paris FC (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Dijon (K) Dijon (K) FRK1
22.10.2023 Dijon (K) Dijon (K) 0-6 HT 0-4 Paris FC (K) Paris FC (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dijon (K)
1-2
AWAY Paris FC (K)
1.07 xG 2.16
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
273 Passes 409
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 37
11 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dijon (K) vs Paris FC (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris FC (K) edged past Dijon (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Paris FC (K) as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dijon (K) had 42% of the ball to Paris FC (K)'s 58%, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 1.07 to 2.16.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Paris FC (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Dijon (K) and 3.00 for Paris FC (K).

What was the final score of Dijon (K) vs Paris FC (K)?

Dijon (K) 1-2 Paris FC (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dijon (K) vs Paris FC (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paris FC (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Dijon (K) 19%, draw 23%, Paris FC (K) 58%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paris FC (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paris FC (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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