Montpellier (K) 1-0 Saint-Étienne (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.8
Over 2.5
58%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.82
No
39%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
17%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
3%
2/1
3%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
52%
+1.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
21%
Away Win
23%
-2.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
52%
-10.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
48%
+10.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
51%
+9.9pp
39%
BTTS No
49%
-9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montpellier (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Saint-Étienne (K) EU Bookmakers 26%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.11/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.33
-2% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
19.9 Crosses 14.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montpellier (K)
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Saint-Étienne (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.19 xG 1.45
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
263 Passes 229
74% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.11.2025 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) 4-2 HT 2-2 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) FRK1
16.03.2025 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) FRK1
23.11.2024 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) 0-2 HT 0-2 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) FRK1
24.04.2024 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) 4-0 HT 0-0 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) FRK1
30.09.2023 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montpellier (K)
1-0
AWAY Saint-Étienne (K)
0.74 xG 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
172 Passes 168
55% Pass Accuracy 55%
12 Box Touches 17
9 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Montpellier (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montpellier (K) edged past Saint-Étienne (K) 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Montpellier (K) as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Montpellier (K) had 49% of the ball to Saint-Étienne (K)'s 51%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.74 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Montpellier (K) had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Montpellier (K) and 1.00 for Saint-Étienne (K).

What was the final score of Montpellier (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K)?

Montpellier (K) 1-0 Saint-Étienne (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montpellier (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montpellier (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Montpellier (K) 53%, draw 27%, Saint-Étienne (K) 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montpellier (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Montpellier (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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